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Fixed vs Floating Home Loan (Singapore, 2026)
Decision comparison · Last updated: February 2026
You don’t win this decision by predicting rates. You win by choosing the structure that keeps your household anti-fragile when rates move.
The decision in one line
- If you need payment certainty, have thin buffers, or rates are low: fix.
- If you have buffers, can refinance quickly, and can tolerate volatility: floating can win.
The real risk people underestimate
It is not “rates might go up”. It is cashflow fragility: a higher instalment forces you to cut spending, sell investments, or panic-sell property at the wrong time.
- Fixed buys you a ceiling on pain.
- Floating buys you optionality (reprice/refinance), but you must survive the spikes.
A simple decision framework (use this, not forecasts)
- Stress test your instalment at +1.5% and +2.0% from today’s rate.
- If that stress test causes lifestyle panic or forces you to sell assets: prefer fixed.
- If you can absorb it comfortably and have a plan to reprice/refinance: floating is viable.
What “buffer” actually means
- Cash buffer: enough liquid cash to handle rate spikes without missing payments.
- Psychological buffer: you won’t panic when the instalment rises.
- Optionality buffer: you can switch packages (reprice/refinance) when the tradeoff flips.
If you don’t have all three, fixed is often the lower-regret choice even if the headline rate is higher.
Common strategies that reduce regret
- Stabilise then optimise: choose fixed for 1–3 years, then reassess and switch if appropriate.
- Floating with guardrails: floating package + strict buffer rule + calendar reminder to review every 6–12 months.
- Avoid long lock-ins unless the discount is large and your timeline is stable.
FAQ
What if I think rates will fall?
Don’t bet your household stability on a forecast. If you go floating, make sure you can survive if you’re wrong.
What if I might sell/upgrade soon?
Prefer optionality: lower penalties, clearer exit terms, and avoid long lock-ins.
A practical framework (Singapore)
- Define your buffer: 6–12 months of instalments in cash/near-cash if floating; 3–6 months if fixed.
- Define your horizon: if you expect to sell/upgrade/refinance within ~2–3 years, flexibility matters more.
- Stress test: ask “If instalment rises by +20–30%, do we still sleep at night?”
Common Singapore patterns
- First home, young kids, single income risk → fixed (or partial fix) is often rational.
- High-income dual earners, large buffers → floating with discipline can be fine.
- Rates feel “low” → fixing can be cheap insurance.
What to do next
If you notice something off, tell me what you were trying to decide and your constraints (timeline, risk tolerance, cashflow).
Your shock rate is the highest interest rate you can absorb without lifestyle damage or forced selling.