Fixed vs Floating Home Loan (Singapore, 2026)

Decision comparison · Last updated: February 2026

You don’t win this decision by predicting rates. You win by choosing the structure that keeps your household anti-fragile when rates move.

The decision in one line

The real risk people underestimate

It is not “rates might go up”. It is cashflow fragility: a higher instalment forces you to cut spending, sell investments, or panic-sell property at the wrong time.

A simple decision framework (use this, not forecasts)

  1. Stress test your instalment at +1.5% and +2.0% from today’s rate.
  2. If that stress test causes lifestyle panic or forces you to sell assets: prefer fixed.
  3. If you can absorb it comfortably and have a plan to reprice/refinance: floating is viable.

What “buffer” actually means

If you don’t have all three, fixed is often the lower-regret choice even if the headline rate is higher.

Common strategies that reduce regret

FAQ

What if I think rates will fall?

Don’t bet your household stability on a forecast. If you go floating, make sure you can survive if you’re wrong.

What if I might sell/upgrade soon?

Prefer optionality: lower penalties, clearer exit terms, and avoid long lock-ins.

A practical framework (Singapore)

  1. Define your buffer: 6–12 months of instalments in cash/near-cash if floating; 3–6 months if fixed.
  2. Define your horizon: if you expect to sell/upgrade/refinance within ~2–3 years, flexibility matters more.
  3. Stress test: ask “If instalment rises by +20–30%, do we still sleep at night?”

Common Singapore patterns


What to do next

If you notice something off, tell me what you were trying to decide and your constraints (timeline, risk tolerance, cashflow).

TL;DR

How to decide in 60 seconds

  1. If a +1.5% rate shock breaks your budget → choose Fixed.
  2. If you have 12–24 months buffer and can prepay if needed → Floating is viable.
  3. If you expect to sell/refinance soon → avoid long lock-ins; optimise for flexibility.

What “fixed” really means in Singapore

What “floating” really means

When fixed usually wins

When floating usually wins

The real question: what’s your “shock rate”?

Your shock rate is the highest interest rate you can absorb without lifestyle damage or forced selling.

Instead of guessing, stress test it:

Decision checklist

  1. What is your maximum safe monthly instalment?
  2. How many months of buffer do you have if rates spike?
  3. Are you likely to sell/upgrade/refinance within the fixed period?
  4. What are the lock-in and prepayment rules?
  5. What will you do if rates go against you for 12 months?

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